Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.184674 0.219099 0.257688 0.304083 0.358282 0.419526 0.493909
2025-06-08 0.128245 0.170648 0.223416 0.293631 0.384315 0.497160 0.647876
2025-06-15 0.102885 0.149123 0.211287 0.300391 0.424155 0.589198 0.825040
2025-06-22 0.084483 0.131532 0.198991 0.301812 0.453401 0.667244 0.989954
2025-06-29 0.069643 0.115547 0.185217 0.297299 0.471367 0.729187 1.136997
2025-07-06 0.058410 0.102686 0.173444 0.292951 0.487406 0.788203 1.284240
2025-07-13 0.052660 0.097488 0.172491 0.304745 0.528947 0.889193 1.505245
2025-07-20 0.049626 0.096283 0.177652 0.326798 0.589095 1.025072 1.795071
2025-07-27 0.045662 0.092681 0.178008 0.340305 0.635865 1.143136 2.066726
2025-08-03 0.040264 0.085468 0.170792 0.339104 0.656291 1.217995 2.271429
2025-08-10 0.034318 0.076177 0.158341 0.326379 0.653926 1.252106 2.406971
2025-08-17 0.028984 0.067231 0.145240 0.310510 0.643416 1.269778 2.513411
2025-08-24 0.026091 0.063227 0.141905 0.314497 0.673561 1.369155 2.788543
2025-08-31 0.022245 0.056463 0.131928 0.303645 0.673168 1.411154 2.960483
2025-09-07 0.020361 0.053876 0.130495 0.310616 0.710028 1.529475 3.293499
2025-09-14 0.018320 0.050526 0.126825 0.312082 0.735215 1.626602 3.593216
2025-09-21 0.016156 0.046456 0.120857 0.307425 0.746289 1.695407 3.840922
2025-09-28 0.014291 0.042809 0.115318 0.302937 0.757043 1.764330 4.095258
2025-10-05 0.013519 0.041983 0.116613 0.315110 0.807672 1.924664 4.562599
2025-10-12 0.013302 0.042683 0.121893 0.337869 0.885972 2.153808 5.203071
2025-10-19 0.012672 0.042068 0.123632 0.351806 0.944400 2.343338 5.771342
2025-10-26 0.011474 0.039516 0.119775 0.350567 0.964971 2.447265 6.152528
2025-11-02 0.009977 0.035731 0.111908 0.337436 0.953683 2.474778 6.357202